Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.013634 0.015846 0.018288 0.021184 0.024521 0.028244 0.032712
2026-01-11 0.009982 0.012741 0.016068 0.020368 0.025774 0.032336 0.040902
2026-01-18 0.007764 0.010749 0.014635 0.020047 0.027374 0.036932 0.050330
2026-01-25 0.006113 0.009099 0.013257 0.019443 0.028383 0.040800 0.059324
2026-02-01 0.004965 0.007887 0.012210 0.019031 0.029477 0.044817 0.068990
2026-02-08 0.004147 0.006989 0.011430 0.018818 0.030740 0.049143 0.079598
2026-02-15 0.003453 0.006147 0.010575 0.018312 0.031410 0.052572 0.089195
2026-02-22 0.003120 0.005836 0.010512 0.019051 0.034142 0.059542 0.105295
2026-03-01 0.002721 0.005337 0.010040 0.018998 0.035491 0.064343 0.118309
2026-03-08 0.002300 0.004723 0.009265 0.018272 0.035517 0.066816 0.127501
2026-03-15 0.002019 0.004327 0.008828 0.018096 0.036496 0.071059 0.140340
2026-03-22 0.001902 0.004239 0.008965 0.019037 0.039711 0.079772 0.162542
2026-03-29 0.001744 0.004046 0.008875 0.019532 0.042154 0.087393 0.183757
2026-04-05 0.001512 0.003654 0.008316 0.018973 0.042375 0.090676 0.196754
2026-04-12 0.001343 0.003373 0.007951 0.018775 0.043322 0.095532 0.213569
2026-04-19 0.001173 0.003063 0.007476 0.018260 0.043501 0.098788 0.227375
2026-04-26 0.001038 0.002811 0.007094 0.017899 0.043968 0.102704 0.243067
2026-05-03 0.000930 0.002611 0.006804 0.017712 0.044807 0.107520 0.261323
2026-05-10 0.000821 0.002387 0.006423 0.017242 0.044900 0.110640 0.276026
2026-05-17 0.000781 0.002347 0.006500 0.017942 0.047960 0.121034 0.309130
2026-05-24 0.000712 0.002209 0.006301 0.017895 0.049125 0.127023 0.332263
2026-05-31 0.000624 0.002003 0.005887 0.017211 0.048546 0.128664 0.344807
2026-06-07 0.000566 0.001876 0.005673 0.017045 0.049320 0.133787 0.366782